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Reversal coming...

A new month and the start of a recent quarter set in for the markets. While August and September have closed out with consecutive monthly losses for every major index, this week's close gives pause to a sign that could spell troubles for the bears. While the narrative has not changed since last year...

Recanting the Recession Forecast

A year ago from today, you would be hard-pressed to find an economist who doubted the U.S. was headed into a deep recession. With the housing market dropping and the Feds attempting to fight inflation by raising interest rates, economists and financial pundits were sure that the consumer market, oth...

Up next: Test of critical support for financial markets

Markets have rallied over +28% since hitting their market lows in October 2022.  Following market movements daily to weekly provides a lot of insight into the near-term and immediate trends in the market.  And the current trend has been upward, with investors catching on to the FOMO train.  While th...

Pullback underway...

Since our last blog in early July, markets have been pushing higher to where the S&P 500 closed today at ~4518. When we posted back in July, we noted a few buy-the-dip phases after breaking above the previous resistance at 4311. On 6/20/23 and 7/3/23, we saw FOMO kick into gear with the dip-buying c...

A matter of interest

Are rising interest rates headwinds for financial markets? Or is it simply that the financial media have familiarized investors with the notion that financial markets decline when interest rates increase? This anecdotal fact has been compounded recently by the 2022 bear market and the surge in infla...

Now that is just bull!

For most of 2023, there has been an onslaught of bearish news calling for markets to drop. Investors have been blasted with a wall of worry from market pundits and news outlets calling for a recession, inflation, banking crisis, and most recently, the debt-ceiling drama. And while many are anticipat...

Signs pointing to more upside

After rallying from mid-March to mid-April, markets have started May with some consolidation along the 4146 region.  While volatility has been at the forefront for most indices, we have a recent breakout.  The S&P500 broke through resistance this week while the Nasdaq hit a new 52-week high.  The bu...

Rally reset. Prepare to buy the dip

Encouraging headlines emerged this week, with the year-over-year CPI report falling from 6.0% to 5.0%. While the core CPI year over year did gain .1%, it still leaves markets with an encouraging sign that inflation is slowing down. In addition, the Producer Price Index (PPI) came well below expectat...

Down but not out

Coming into "Fed week," all major U.S. indices rallied to start the week. The rally helped push the S&P 500 up +2% on Monday and Tuesday. With market participants expecting a 25 basis point rise in short-term rates, shifting from value to growth stock has helped propel the Nasdaq Composite to challe...

All in the price action

February on average has a performance loss for the S&P 500 dating back to 1928. After three weeks of losses, many market pundits joined the bears to call for another pending crash. Interestingly, this came from the same fearmongers who cried out that markets would crash due to high-interest rates, i...